Blogs -Winning Cybersecurity Stocks From Q1 Earnings

Winning Cybersecurity Stocks From Q1 Earnings


June 14, 2022

Beth Kindig

Lead Tech Analyst

This article was originally published on Forbes on Jun 10, 2022,12:19am EDT

The market has indiscriminately penalized tech stocks across the board and cybersecurity stocks are simply caught in the cross fire. Q1 earnings proved that cybersecurity stocks are insulated from supply chain issues and remain a number one priority across corporate budgets. Specifically, cybersecurity-related companies reported top line and bottom line beats plus a handful raised guidance while consumer-related tech and less cash efficient cloud verticals lowered or missed guidance this past quarter.

The analysis below looks at why cybersecurity is a more insulated trend and a few of the cybersecurity stocks that stood-out.

Cybersecurity Budgets are Expanding in 2022

Enterprise spending is expected to increase in 2022 from the previous year, according to Chief Information Security Officer (CISO) surveys. Considering the level of cloud spending in both 2020 and 2021, an increase on already high budgets is impressive. The CISO survey states that 44% increase budgets to increase in 2022 compared to 41% in 2021 and only 2% expect a decrease compared to 6% the previous year.

In a similar study from PricewatershouseCooper, 69% predict a rise in cyber spending for 2022 and 26% expect a surge of 10% or higher spending year-over-year. This survey was done across a broader C-suite and executive sampling.

According to a Gartner survey, 88% of the Board of Directors viewed cybersecurity as a business risk. According to Paul Proctor, VP at Gartner, “The influx of ransomware and supply chain attacks seen throughout 2021, many of which targeted operation- and mission-critical environments, should be a wake-up call that security is a business issue, and not just another problem for IT to solve.”

Gartner has also reported from a CIO survey that cyber and information security is the top priority of planned investments for companies for 2022 with 66% planning to increase investments.

Monika Sinha, VP at Gartner, said, “There is a continued need to invest in cybersecurity as the environment becomes more challenging. A high level of composability would help an enterprise recover faster and potentially even minimize the effects of a cybersecurity incident.

According to Global Market Insights, the cybersecurity market is expected to reach $400 billion by 2027 from $170 billion in 2020, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% during this period. The report mentions that rapid technological advancement is driving the shift to cloud-based solutions. The increasing use of the digital world increases cybercrime, which increases enterprises' spending on cybersecurity.

Cybersecurity Stocks Report Strong Q1 Earnings

We had stated on Fox Business News that a small cohort of companies emerged this past quarter to increase the top line while also reporting narrowing losses on the bottom line. We feel not losing site of opportunities during selloffs is how generational wealth is built.

This quarter, we saw on average a 5% top line beat above guidance across major cybersecurity stocks, including Crowdstrike, Okta, SentinelOne and Zscaler. This is coupled with a beat on the bottom line across all major cybersecurity stocks with both Crowdstrike and Palo Alto Networks proving the sector can be profitable and also increase cash efficiency at scale.

Chart showing cybersecurity stocks strong Q1 earnings

Source: YCharts and Investor Relations (I/O Fund)

Zscaler’s Q3 FY 2022 revenue accelerated by 63% YoY to $286.8 million in the recent quarter. It was the seventh consecutive quarter of above 50% growth. The growth was led by the strong adoption of the company’s Zero Trust Platform. Zscaler has a free cash flow margin of 15% and management expects this to expand to a free cash flow margin of 20% for the full-year ending July 2022.

Sign up for I/O Fund's free newsletter with gains of up to 403% - Click here

Credit Suisse analyst Phil Winslow lowered the company’s price target to $310 from $410 and kept an Outperform rating. He said, “Zscaler reported strong Q3 results, with revenue growth greatly surpassing consensus estimates and operating margins and billings also exceeding consensus. He believes a meaningful runway exists for the company.

CrowdStrike stole the show this quarter with a beat on both top and bottom line; but it was the raised guidance line that stood out. Revenue accelerated by 61% YoY to $487.8 million and annual recurring revenue (ARR) also accelerated by 61% YoY to $1.92 billion. This company has an impressive cash flow margin of 32%.

Crowdstrike also raised revenue guidance for FY 2023 ending January to $2.19 billion to $2.21 billion from the earlier guidance of $2.13 billion to $2.16 billion, representing a YoY growth of 52% at the mid-point of the revised guidance. It also raised guidance of adjusted income from operations from a midpoint of $300.5 million to $312.2 million. Similarly, the adjusted net income from a mid-point guidance of $262.4 million to $289 million.

Morgan Stanley analyst Hamza Fodderwala upgraded the stock to overweight from equal weight. The analyst said, “CrowdStrike (CRWD) is seeing further adoption based on conversations with Chief Information Officers and is seeing 100% growth from its non-endpoint offerings, which now account for 15% of its annual recurring revenue, showing that its total addressable market could be $30B bigger than first thought.”

Chart showing cybersecurity companies EPS

(I/O Fund)

Cloudflare company reported 54% revenue growth, beating estimates by 3%, with 49% growth expected next quarter. The company raised full year revenue guidance to $957 million, at the mid-range, for growth of 46%.

There is additional supporting evidence that growth is not an issue for Cloudflare, including remaining performance obligations (RPO) up 57% year-over-year and dollar-based net retention up 400 bps YoY. Customers paying over $100K increased 63% year-over-year to 1,537. This outpaced total customer growth of 29%. Large customers contributed 58% of revenue. There was solid growth in the >$500K customer base of 68% year-over-year growth, and >$1 million customer base grew by 72% year-over-year.

Needham analyst Alex Henderson has kept the buy rating but lowered the company’s price target to $100 from $245. He reduced the target multiples in his valuation model to enterprise value to expected FY23 sales of 23-times, down from 64-times, given the sell-off in growth equities, but maintains that Cloudflare should be a core long-term holding in all growth portfolios and recommended that investors buy the recent weakness.

Palo Alto’s Q3 FY 2022 revenue grew by 29% YoY to $1.4 billion. The billings and remaining performance obligation grew by 40% to $1.8 billion and $6.9 billion, respectively. The management mentioned in the earnings call that it was the highest billings growth in the past four years. The company raised the full-year ending July revenue guidance from a mid-point of $5.46 billion to $5.49 billion, representing a YoY increase of 29% at the mid-point.

Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives lowered the company’s price target to $580 from $660 and kept an Outperform rating on the shares. He said, “The shift to cloud is a massive tailwind for Palo Alto as the company is in the right spot at the right time to benefit from this multiyear tidal wave of cybersecurity enterprise spending.”

Conclusion:

Cybersecurity is a top priority in budgets and the results are showing up. We found a strong pattern with cybersecurity stocks sustaining growth rates and strong bottom lines this quarter. The cybersecurity sector overwhelmingly beat estimates compared to other sectors within tech and investors may want to take notice.

Royston Roche contributed to this article.

Gains of up to 403% from our Free Newsletter.

Here are sample stock gains from the I/O Fund’s newsletter --- produced weekly and all for free!

+344% on Nvidia

+403% on Bitcoin

+218% on Roku

*as of March 15, 2022

Our newsletter provides an edge in the world’s most valuable industry – technology. Due to the enormous gains from this particular industry, we think it’s essential that every stock investor have a credible source who specializes in tech. Subscribe for Free Weekly Analysis on the Best Tech Stocks.

If you are a more serious investor, we have a premium service that offers lower entries and real-time trade alerts. Sample returns on the premium site include 324% on Zoom, 601% on Nvidia, 445% on Bitcoin, and 4-digits on an alt-coin. The I/O Fund is audited annually to prove it’s one of the best performing Funds on the market with returns that beat Wall Street funds. 

More To Explore

Newsletter

Google Stock: Search Is On The Precipice Of Multi-Decade Disruption

Earlier this month, Google’s stock (Alphabet) tumbled 7% when chatbot Bard was unable to complete a search with 100% accuracy. During a demonstration, Bard returned incorrect information about which t

February 23, 2023

Nvidia Throwback: An Example of Why Conviction Matters for Stocks

Last August, Nvidia had a $2.5 billion revenue miss due to gaming and crypto mining related weakness. This caused the stock to selloff (8%) in one day. Many pundits were questioning if Nvidia could ov

February 23, 2023

Timeout for Tesla Stock: Where We Plan to Buy

 The stakes are high for Tesla's stock because if the margins remain healthy, the stock will do quite well. However, if the margins contract, then the bears will be in control. This is a big moment fo

February 22, 2023

Bitcoin is up 40% in 2023, Here’s Where it Goes Next

We update the new developments in Bitcoin’s price patterns as well as the on-chain metrics that we tend to see around historic lows. We will also take a look at the fundamental thesis surrounding Bitc

February 08, 2023

Ad Budgets Set To Slow Even More In 2023

Ad-tech stocks across the board had a tough year last year. Investors are hoping that 2023 will be a better year, yet according to the projected ad spend for 2023, this may not be the case.

January 31, 2023

VIDEO: January Stock Market Correction Explained

In late November, we warned our readers that December could be a volatile month. The recent bounce in January also provided some warning signs, which we used to get defensive.

January 20, 2023

Interview with Real Vision: Nvidia is the #1 AI Stock and Why Cloud Looks Weak

Last week, I joined Samuel Burke from Real Vision to discuss “3 Ideas.” We discussed why I see Nvidia as the #1 AI stock also why cloud is weaker than it appears.

January 13, 2023

Top 5 Stocks Of 2022: Year In Review

In this analysis, rather than prognosticate on the top stocks of 2023, we think it’s more productive to go back and review the stocks that performed well under new macro conditions in 2022. This exerc

January 11, 2023

CrowdStrike Stock: Cloud Darling Reports Weak Sequential Key Metrics

CrowdStrike has one of the better fundamental profiles out of the cloud category. This is due to its 50%+ revenue growth rate, GAAP operating margin of (7%) and free cash flow margin of 31%. The compa

January 04, 2023

One More Rally to End the Year

Sentiment continues to show some of the most bearish readings we’ve seen since the 2022 bear market began. The AAII, which is a survey that asks investors if they are bullish, neutral or bearish 6 mon

December 22, 2022

Sign up for Analysis on
the Best Tech Stocks

The I/O Fund specializes in tech growth stocks and offers in-depth research for Premium Members. Investors get access to a transparent portfolio of 30 positions, a private forum, webinars, and real-time trade notifications. Sign up for Premium.

We are on social networks


Copyright © 2010 - 2023
Get Free Weekly Analysis on the Best Tech Stocks